M01
Single-arm study design
MSAC consistently rejects clinical utility claims based on single-arm studies. Comparative evidence against current Australian standard of care is required. Single-arm studies are only accepted for safety and feasibility claims, not for clinical utility or cost-effectiveness.
Signal: Single-arm design proposed or completed with no comparator arm.
M02
No active comparator or wrong comparator
The comparator must reflect current Australian clinical practice — not placebo, historical control, or international standard of care unless explicitly justified. MSAC has deferred multiple applications where the comparator was not the Australian standard of care.
Signal: Planned study uses placebo, no comparator, or a non-Australian standard of care.
M04
Population not generalisable to Australia
Studies conducted entirely in non-Australian populations require explicit bridging justification. MSAC has rejected or deferred applications where prevalence, treatment pathway, or clinical setting differed materially from Australian practice.
Signal: Evidence base is entirely international (particularly US/European) with no bridging argument.
M05In silico path
No economic model or inadequate cost-effectiveness analysis
MSAC requires a full health economic model for all MBS listing applications, using Australian costs and epidemiology, presenting cost per QALY or cost per clinical outcome. Absence of an economic model is an automatic rejection driver.
Signal: No economic model, or model not yet started/scoped.
M06
Insufficient follow-up
MSAC has deferred applications where follow-up was insufficient to capture clinically meaningful outcomes. Implantable devices require a minimum 12 months; chronic condition devices require follow-up commensurate with the disease course.
Signal: Follow-up period under 12 months for an implantable, or short relative to the natural disease course.
M07
Equity evidence absent
MSAC requires explicit consideration of access for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples and rural/remote populations. Applications that do not address equity of access are flagged, weighted heavily where the condition has disproportionate burden in these populations.
Signal: No equity evidence or access consideration included in the submission.
M09
Small sample size / underpowered studies
MSAC has rejected applications where sample sizes were insufficient to detect a clinically meaningful difference. Studies powered for regulatory clearance are frequently underpowered for MSAC's comparative-effectiveness purposes.
Signal: Sample size set for regulatory clearance only, not powered for comparative effectiveness.
M10
No pre-specified primary endpoint
Post-hoc endpoint selection or composite endpoints without pre-specification are a recurring MSAC concern. The primary endpoint must be pre-specified, clinically relevant, and powered accordingly.
Signal: Primary endpoint not yet pre-specified, or endpoint selection deferred to analysis stage.